2026 Rankings

Worst Infrastructure: Kentucky — 2026 Rankings

Last updated: July 19, 2026

839 ZIP codes ranked by Pipe Failure Risk #1: ZIP 40007 (Bethlehem, KY) - 63%

Out of 839 ZIP codes with infrastructure data in Kentucky, these areas face the highest estimated risk of water pipe failure based on infrastructure age, funding gaps, and violation history.

Statistic Value
ZIP codes ranked 839
Highest risk 63%
Median risk 39%
Average risk 39%
State Kentucky

Top 100 Highest Risk ZIP Codes

Rank ZIP Code City State Pipe Failure Risk Risk Level Safety Score
1 40007 Bethlehem KY 63% Very High 53/100
2 40212 Louisville KY 63% Very High 65/100
3 40204 Louisville KY 62% Very High 65/100
4 40855 Lynch KY 62% Very High 82/100
5 40205 Louisville KY 61% Very High 55/100
6 40210 Louisville KY 61% Very High 70/100
7 42450 Providence KY 61% Very High 58/100
8 42459 Sturgis KY 61% Very High 51/100
9 40208 Louisville KY 60% High 65/100
10 40217 Louisville KY 60% High 65/100
11 40964 Mary Alice KY 60% High 63/100
12 41567 Stone KY 60% High 55/100
13 40348 Millersburg KY 59% High 55/100
14 41669 Wheelwright KY 59% High 83/100
15 40203 Louisville KY 58% High 70/100
16 40215 Louisville KY 58% High 65/100
17 40807 Benham KY 58% High 79/100
18 41146 Hitchins KY 58% High 55/100
19 42058 Ledbetter KY 58% High 82/100
20 42322 Beech Grove KY 58% High 53/100
21 42404 Clay KY 58% High 82/100
22 40209 Louisville KY 57% High 65/100
23 40211 Louisville KY 57% High 65/100
24 40502 Lexington KY 57% High 55/100
25 40505 Lexington KY 57% High 55/100
26 41537 Jenkins KY 57% High 67/100
27 41612 Bypro KY 57% High 55/100
28 42437 Morganfield KY 57% High 58/100
29 40213 Louisville KY 56% High 55/100
30 40849 Lejunior KY 56% High 63/100
31 41605 Betsy Layne KY 56% High 55/100
32 42037 Dycusburg KY 56% High 53/100
33 40058 Port Royal KY 55% High 53/100
34 41073 Bellevue KY 55% High 50/100
35 41538 Jonancy KY 55% High 63/100
36 41601 Allen KY 55% High 50/100
37 41804 Blackey KY 55% High 63/100
38 41838 Millstone KY 55% High 63/100
39 42159 Oakland KY 55% High 53/100
40 42713 Bonnieville KY 55% High 31/100
41 40020 Fairfield KY 54% High 40/100
42 40177 West Point KY 54% High 45/100
43 40206 Louisville KY 54% High 60/100
44 41014 Covington KY 54% High 63/100
45 41085 Silver Grove KY 54% High 50/100
46 41102 Ashland KY 54% High 41/100
47 41526 Fords Branch KY 54% High 63/100
48 42028 Burna KY 54% High 53/100
49 40040 Mackville KY 53% High 53/100
50 40818 Coalgood KY 53% High 53/100
51 40847 Kenvir KY 53% High 63/100
52 41101 Ashland KY 53% High 46/100
53 41503 South Williamson KY 53% High 50/100
54 41555 Pinsonfork KY 53% High 63/100
55 41835 Mc Roberts KY 53% High 63/100
56 42409 Dixon KY 53% High 83/100
57 42461 Uniontown KY 53% High 65/100
58 40155 Muldraugh KY 52% High 83/100
59 40161 Rhodelia KY 52% High 53/100
60 40207 Louisville KY 52% High 55/100
61 40339 Keene KY 52% High 40/100
62 40503 Lexington KY 52% High 50/100
63 40504 Lexington KY 52% High 50/100
64 40830 Gulston KY 52% High 63/100
65 41606 Bevinsville KY 52% High 63/100
66 41840 Neon KY 52% High 54/100
67 42202 Adairville KY 52% High 75/100
68 40214 Louisville KY 51% High 55/100
69 40507 Lexington KY 51% High 60/100
70 40508 Lexington KY 51% High 60/100
71 41074 Dayton KY 51% High 50/100
72 41513 Belcher KY 51% High 53/100
73 41517 Burdine KY 51% High 63/100
74 42081 Smithland KY 51% High 53/100
75 42345 Greenville KY 51% High 67/100
76 42371 Rumsey KY 51% High 50/100
77 42410 Earlington KY 51% High 82/100
78 42431 Madisonville KY 51% High 70/100
79 40216 Louisville KY 50% High 55/100
80 40334 Hope KY 50% High 53/100
81 40983 Sextons Creek KY 50% High 53/100
82 41016 Covington KY 50% High 50/100
83 41566 Steele KY 50% High 53/100
84 41775 Wendover KY 50% High 53/100
85 41847 Redfox KY 50% High 63/100
86 42050 Hickman KY 50% High 94/100
87 42124 Beaumont KY 50% High 40/100
88 42321 Beech Creek KY 50% High 53/100
89 42369 Rockport KY 50% High 53/100
90 42462 Waverly KY 50% High 53/100
91 42749 Horse Cave KY 50% High 70/100
92 40025 Glenview KY 49% High 53/100
93 41002 Augusta KY 49% High 73/100
94 41011 Covington KY 49% High 55/100
95 41512 Ashcamp KY 49% High 63/100
96 42061 Lowes KY 49% High 66/100
97 42256 Lewisburg KY 49% High 62/100
98 42276 Russellville KY 49% High 69/100
99 42325 Bremen KY 49% High 72/100
100 42327 Calhoun KY 49% High 57/100

Methodology

Infrastructure risk rankings combine four data sources, each weighted equally (25%): (1) EPA Drinking Water Infrastructure Needs Survey (DWINS 2023) — state-level 20-year funding gap per capita for pipe replacement, treatment, and storage; (2) Census ACS housing vintage — percentage of homes built before 1980, when lead solder and galvanized pipes were common; (3) EPA SDWIS violation and enforcement data — system-level compliance history; (4) Lead and Copper Rule indicators — service line material inventories and 90th percentile lead testing results. The combined score is normalized to a 0-100% probability scale.

Data sources: EPA DWINS 2023, Census ACS, EPA SDWIS, Lead and Copper Rule data. Last updated: 2026-07-19.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does pipe failure probability mean?

Pipe failure probability estimates the likelihood of water main breaks, lead contamination from corroded pipes, or service disruptions based on infrastructure age, state funding gaps, violation history, and lead indicators. It is not a prediction of imminent failure, but a risk assessment based on known factors.

How is infrastructure risk calculated?

The risk score combines four equally weighted factors: state-level infrastructure funding gap per capita (from EPA DWINS 2023), housing vintage (Census ACS pre-1980 housing percentage), water system violation and enforcement history (EPA SDWIS), and lead exposure indicators (service line probability and testing results).

What can homeowners do about aging infrastructure?

Test your tap water annually, especially for lead. Check if your home has a lead service line through your water utility. Consider a whole-house water filter (NSF/ANSI 53 certified). Review your water system Consumer Confidence Report for violation history.

Does high risk mean my water is unsafe right now?

Not necessarily. Infrastructure risk indicates long-term vulnerability, not current contamination. However, areas with aging pipes and high violation counts have a statistically higher chance of water quality issues. Regular testing is the best way to verify your water safety.

Explore More Rankings

How this ranking is calculated, data sources, and limitations: Rankings Methodology →


Related Rankings

Water Safety 2026 EPA violations and water quality scores Lead Risk 2026 Lead pipe infrastructure and EPA exceedances Infrastructure 2026 Aging pipes, system age and remediation costs
Disclaimer: Rankings are based on EPA, FEMA, and federal agency data. They reflect historical patterns and risk indicators, not necessarily current conditions. For the most current information, contact your local water utility or request a Consumer Confidence Report.

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