2026 Rankings

Worst Infrastructure: Michigan — 2026 Rankings

Last updated: June 4, 2026

1,109 ZIP codes ranked by Pipe Failure Risk #1: ZIP 48502 (Flint, MI) — 65%

Out of 1,109 ZIP codes with infrastructure data in Michigan, these areas face the highest estimated risk of water pipe failure based on infrastructure age, funding gaps, and violation history.

Statistic Value
ZIP codes ranked 1,109
Highest risk 65%
Median risk 38%
Average risk 38%
State Michigan

Top 100 Highest Risk ZIP Codes

Rank ZIP Code City State Pipe Failure Risk Risk Level Safety Score
1 48502 Flint MI 65% Very High 82/100
2 48503 Flint MI 60% High 77/100
3 49960 Rockland MI 60% High 62/100
4 48204 Detroit MI 59% High 77/100
5 48206 Detroit MI 59% High 77/100
6 48209 Detroit MI 59% High 72/100
7 48238 Detroit MI 59% High 77/100
8 48505 Flint MI 59% High 82/100
9 49864 Nahma MI 59% High 80/100
10 48210 Detroit MI 58% High 77/100
11 48212 Hamtramck MI 58% High 80/100
12 48221 Detroit MI 58% High 72/100
13 48227 Detroit MI 58% High 72/100
14 48504 Flint MI 58% High 77/100
15 48607 Saginaw MI 58% High 85/100
16 48211 Detroit MI 57% High 77/100
17 48213 Detroit MI 57% High 77/100
18 48218 River Rouge MI 57% High 74/100
19 48224 Detroit MI 57% High 72/100
20 48506 Flint MI 57% High 77/100
21 48816 Cohoctah MI 57% High 53/100
22 48859 Mount Pleasant MI 57% High 98/100
23 49871 Palmer MI 57% High 79/100
24 48205 Detroit MI 56% High 72/100
25 48214 Detroit MI 56% High 77/100
26 48234 Detroit MI 56% High 72/100
27 49276 Riga MI 56% High 55/100
28 49335 Moline MI 56% High 66/100
29 48202 Detroit MI 55% High 77/100
30 48217 Detroit MI 55% High 77/100
31 48223 Detroit MI 55% High 72/100
32 48507 Flint MI 55% High 72/100
33 49507 Grand Rapids MI 55% High 73/100
34 49847 Hermansville MI 55% High 28/100
35 48216 Detroit MI 54% High 76/100
36 48219 Detroit MI 54% High 72/100
37 48228 Detroit MI 54% High 72/100
38 48602 Saginaw MI 54% High 74/100
39 49014 Battle Creek MI 54% High 40/100
40 49017 Battle Creek MI 54% High 58/100
41 49037 Battle Creek MI 54% High 45/100
42 48225 Harper Woods MI 53% High 76/100
43 48230 Grosse Pointe MI 53% High 89/100
44 48235 Detroit MI 53% High 72/100
45 48708 Bay City MI 53% High 77/100
46 48862 North Star MI 53% High 66/100
47 48870 Palo MI 53% High 53/100
48 49238 Deerfield MI 53% High 58/100
49 49258 Mosherville MI 53% High 40/100
50 48043 Mount Clemens MI 52% High 85/100
51 48069 Pleasant Ridge MI 52% High 73/100
52 48208 Detroit MI 52% High 76/100
53 48215 Detroit MI 52% High 62/100
54 48532 Flint MI 52% High 77/100
55 48915 Lansing MI 52% High 82/100
56 49015 Battle Creek MI 52% High 40/100
57 49917 Copper City MI 52% High 81/100
58 49955 Painesdale MI 52% High 72/100
59 48125 Dearborn Heights MI 51% High 76/100
60 48128 Dearborn MI 51% High 93/100
61 48220 Ferndale MI 51% High 71/100
62 48809 Belding MI 51% High 71/100
63 48874 Pompeii MI 51% High 66/100
64 49001 Kalamazoo MI 51% High 54/100
65 49007 Kalamazoo MI 51% High 59/100
66 49022 Benton Harbor MI 51% High 84/100
67 49245 Homer MI 51% High 48/100
68 49440 Muskegon MI 51% High 98/100
69 49503 Grand Rapids MI 51% High 73/100
70 49506 Grand Rapids MI 51% High 73/100
71 49959 Ramsay MI 51% High 83/100
72 48141 Inkster MI 50% High 68/100
73 48180 Taylor MI 50% High 57/100
74 48190 Whittaker MI 50% High 65/100
75 48226 Detroit MI 50% High 76/100
76 48239 Redford MI 50% High 76/100
77 48410 Argyle MI 50% High 53/100
78 48456 Minden City MI 50% High 77/100
79 48601 Saginaw MI 50% High 74/100
80 48852 Mcbrides MI 50% High 53/100
81 48867 Owosso MI 50% High 60/100
82 49111 Eau Claire MI 50% High 68/100
83 49236 Clinton MI 50% High 54/100
84 49504 Grand Rapids MI 50% High 73/100
85 49628 Elberta MI 50% High 84/100
86 49852 Loretto MI 50% High 53/100
87 49915 Caspian MI 50% High 82/100
88 49934 Hubbell MI 50% High 53/100
89 48072 Berkley MI 49% High 79/100
90 48236 Grosse Pointe MI 49% High 89/100
91 48240 Redford MI 49% High 86/100
92 48463 Otisville MI 49% High 71/100
93 48658 Standish MI 49% High 81/100
94 48701 Akron MI 49% High 83/100
95 48853 Maple Rapids MI 49% High 82/100
96 48856 Middleton MI 49% High 66/100
97 48933 Lansing MI 49% High 82/100
98 49268 Palmyra MI 49% High 59/100
99 49289 Weston MI 49% High 40/100
100 49863 Nadeau MI 49% High 53/100

Methodology

Infrastructure risk rankings combine four data sources, each weighted equally (25%): (1) EPA Drinking Water Infrastructure Needs Survey (DWINS 2023) — state-level 20-year funding gap per capita for pipe replacement, treatment, and storage; (2) Census ACS housing vintage — percentage of homes built before 1980, when lead solder and galvanized pipes were common; (3) EPA SDWIS violation and enforcement data — system-level compliance history; (4) Lead and Copper Rule indicators — service line material inventories and 90th percentile lead testing results. The combined score is normalized to a 0-100% probability scale.

Data sources: EPA DWINS 2023, Census ACS, EPA SDWIS, Lead and Copper Rule data. Last updated: 2026-06-04.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does pipe failure probability mean?

Pipe failure probability estimates the likelihood of water main breaks, lead contamination from corroded pipes, or service disruptions based on infrastructure age, state funding gaps, violation history, and lead indicators. It is not a prediction of imminent failure, but a risk assessment based on known factors.

How is infrastructure risk calculated?

The risk score combines four equally weighted factors: state-level infrastructure funding gap per capita (from EPA DWINS 2023), housing vintage (Census ACS pre-1980 housing percentage), water system violation and enforcement history (EPA SDWIS), and lead exposure indicators (service line probability and testing results).

What can homeowners do about aging infrastructure?

Test your tap water annually, especially for lead. Check if your home has a lead service line through your water utility. Consider a whole-house water filter (NSF/ANSI 53 certified). Review your water system Consumer Confidence Report for violation history.

Does high risk mean my water is unsafe right now?

Not necessarily. Infrastructure risk indicates long-term vulnerability, not current contamination. However, areas with aging pipes and high violation counts have a statistically higher chance of water quality issues. Regular testing is the best way to verify your water safety.

Explore More Rankings

How this ranking is calculated, data sources, and limitations: Rankings Methodology →


Related Rankings

Water Safety 2026 EPA violations and water quality scores Lead Risk 2026 Lead pipe infrastructure and EPA exceedances Infrastructure 2026 Aging pipes, system age and remediation costs
Disclaimer: Rankings are based on EPA, FEMA, and federal agency data. They reflect historical patterns and risk indicators, not necessarily current conditions. For the most current information, contact your local water utility or request a Consumer Confidence Report.

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